Exponential Growth & Decay Models
Learn to write, evaluate, and interpret exponential growth and decay models a(1+r)^t and a(1−r)^t, turning percent change into growth or decay factors.
What you'll do in this lesson
A voice-first session with the Crimsora tutor on Exponential Growth & Decay Models, then targeted practice and FRQs — with the tutor adapting to where you get stuck.
What this lesson covers
In this lesson you will turn a sentence like "decreases by 8% per year" into an equation like , evaluate that equation at a given time, and read an equation backward to say what each number means in the real situation. The whole skill rests on one conversion — percent change into a multiplier — and most mistakes students make trace back to that single step.
From Percent Change to a Growth or Decay Factor
Repeat that multiplication times and you get the general modelswhere is the starting amount, is the percent rate written as a decimal, and is the number of time periods.
| Stated change | as a decimal | Factor | Model form |
|---|---|---|---|
| grows 5% per year | |||
| grows 12.5% per year | |||
| falls 5% per year | |||
| falls 40% per year | |||
| grows 100% per year |
Reading a Model in Context
The value is the amount when , because . Call it the initial value, starting amount, or original price — whatever fits the story.
The base is the factor. To recover the percent rate, compare to 1. If , then and the quantity grows by each period. If , then and the quantity decays by each period.
For where is in years: the starting amount is 1,400, and since , the amount increases 3.5% per year.
For : the starting amount is 60, and since , the amount decreases 22% per period — not 78%. Saying "it decays 78% per year" is the single most common misreading. The factor tells you what remains; the rate tells you what is lost.
A full interpretation also names the time unit. If counts months, then 3.5% is a monthly rate, and the yearly change is not — it is , about a 51.1% increase, because the growth compounds. Never multiply a periodic rate by the number of periods to get the total change in an exponential model.
Evaluating Models and Avoiding Order-of-Operations Traps
Time does not have to be a whole number. If is measured in years, then means six months and means two years and three months. Negative values look backward in time: in , the input gives about 28,235, the value one year before the starting point.
When the time unit in the question does not match the model, convert before substituting, not after. If with in months, then "after 3 years" means , not .
Rounding deserves care too. Keep full precision inside the calculator and round only the final answer, to the precision the context demands — money to the nearest cent or dollar, populations to whole people. Rounding to early shifts the car's value by almost 90 dollars.
Finally, remember what an exponential model can and cannot do. A decay model approaches zero but never reaches it, so a question asking "when does the value hit zero?" has no solution; the honest answer is that the model predicts the value keeps shrinking without ever equaling zero.
Exponential Versus Linear: Choosing the Right Model
| Wording | Change per period | Model |
|---|---|---|
| increases by 40 people per year | constant amount added | |
| increases by 4% per year | constant factor | |
| loses 300 dollars per year | constant amount subtracted | |
| loses 15% of its value per year | constant factor | |
| doubles every year | factor of 2 | |
| triples every year | factor of 3 | |
| halves every year | factor of |
For the table with inputs and outputs , the differences are — not constant. The ratios are , , — constant. So the model is , a 25% decrease per period.
A related trap: "doubles every 3 years" is not when is in years. Because the doubling happens once every three years, the model is . Match the exponent to how many complete periods have passed.
Key terms
- Exponential model.
- A function of the form in which the output is multiplied by the constant factor each time increases by 1.
- Initial value ().
- The output when ; the amount the quantity starts at, since .
- Growth factor.
- A base greater than 1, equal to , that multiplies the quantity each period so it increases.
- Decay factor.
- A base between 0 and 1, equal to , that multiplies the quantity each period so it decreases; it represents the fraction that remains.
- Rate of change ().
- The percent increase or decrease per period, written as a decimal; 7% becomes .
- Time period ().
- The number of compounding intervals elapsed, measured in the unit the rate is stated in (years, months, hours).
- Compounding.
- Applying the percent change to the new amount each period rather than to the original, which is why periodic rates cannot simply be multiplied.
- Constant ratio.
- The fixed quotient between consecutive outputs in an exponential table, equal to the base .
Worked example
Step 2 — Convert the percent to a decimal. A 15% decrease means .
Step 3 — Build the factor. Because the value is decreasing, use . The car keeps 85% of its value each year.
Step 4 — Write the model.Step 5 — Evaluate at . Exponent first:Then multiply:After 5 years the car is worth about 10,649 dollars.
Step 6 — Interpret. The 24,000 is the purchase price. The 0.85 is the decay factor: each year the car retains 85% of the previous year's value, which is a 15% annual loss. The exponent counts years since purchase. Notice the car did not lose of its value; it lost about 55.6%, because each year's 15% is taken from a smaller amount than the year before.
Check for reasonableness. After one year the value is , and after two years . Continuing that pattern three more years lands near 10,649, so the answer is consistent.
Practice questions
A town has 1,200 residents and its population grows 3% each year. Which equation models the population after years?
Answer:
A medicine leaves the bloodstream so that the amount remaining is modeled by , where is in milligrams and is in hours. Interpret the numbers 320 and 0.86 in context, then find how much remains after 6 hours.
Answer: 320 mg is the initial dose at ; 0.86 means 86% of the medicine remains each hour, so the amount decreases 14% per hour. After 6 hours, mg.
An investment is modeled by , with in years. What is the annual percent increase, and why is the total increase after 10 years more than 45%?
Answer: The annual increase is 4.5%. After 10 years the value is , an increase of about 55.3%, more than 45% because each year's interest is computed on a larger balance.
FAQ
- What is the difference between the growth rate and the growth factor?
- The rate is the percent change written as a decimal; the factor is what you multiply by. They are related by for growth and for decay. For a 9% increase, the rate is 0.09 and the factor is 1.09. For a 9% decrease, the rate is 0.09 and the factor is 0.91.
- How do I tell if an equation shows growth or decay?
- Look at the base. If the base is greater than 1, the quantity grows; if it is between 0 and 1, the quantity decays. So grows 20% per period and decays 20% per period. Fractions count too: has base 0.75, so it decays 25% per period.
- What if the percent change is given per month but the question asks about years?
- Keep in the unit that matches the rate and convert the time before substituting. With a monthly rate, three years means . Do not multiply the monthly percent by 12 to get an annual percent — compute instead, because the change compounds.
- Why can't a decay model ever reach zero?
- Each period you multiply by a positive number less than 1, and multiplying a positive number by a positive number never gives zero. The outputs get arbitrarily small and the graph approaches the horizontal asymptote , but no value of makes the output exactly zero. In real contexts we usually ask when the amount drops below some small threshold instead.
Learn this with a teacher, not a page
The Crimsora tutor teaches Exponential Growth & Decay Models live — explaining on a whiteboard, asking you questions, and adapting to where you get stuck.